Should I drop Ryan Fitzgerald for Trey Smack?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

This week’s projections are 6.9 FP for Ryan Fitzgerald and 7.1 FP for Trey Smack. Trey Smack is behind by 4.0 FP across the evaluated weeks and ahead by 1.4 FP in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:48 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Ryan Fitzgerald

K · CAR · vs DEN

Stats & schedule ›

6.9FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

8.5%rostered on ESPN-0.38 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Trey Smack

K · GB · vs NE

Stats & schedule ›

7.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

10.5%rostered on ESPN-0.45 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Ryan Fitzgerald is 8.5% rostered; Trey Smack is 10.5% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Ryan Fitzgerald

Ryan Fitzgerald projects for 6.9 Standard points against DEN this week. His recent scoring average is 6.0 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 2.5%. He is rostered in 8.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.38 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 6.9 FP -0.4vs ESPN
ESPN: 7.3 FP
Sleeper: 7.5 FP
FantasyPros: 7.1 FP
Boosted Trees: 7.2 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Trey Smack

Trey Smack projects for 7.1 Standard points against NE this week. His recent scoring average is 6.0 FP. He is rostered in 10.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.45 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 7.1 FP -0.3vs ESPN
ESPN: 7.4 FP
Sleeper: 7.5 FP
FantasyPros: 6.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.6 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 4:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Ryan Fitzgerald	Trey Smack
Next 3 weeks	22.6 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	14.4 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed
Remaining regular-season schedule	74.6 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	70.6 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	30.1 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	31.5 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Ryan Fitzgerald	Trey Smack
Week 9	6.9 FPvs DEN	7.1 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 10	8.1 FPvs NOHigher projection	7.3 FPvs MIN
Week 11	7.6 FPvs BALHigher projection	BYE
Week 12	7.2 FPvs TB	8.1 FPvs LARHigher projection
Week 13	6.7 FPvs MIN	8.3 FPvs NOHigher projection
Week 14	8.0 FPvs NO	8.3 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 15	7.8 FPvs CIN	8.3 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 16	7.5 FPvs PITHigher projection	7.1 FPvs CHI
Week 17	7.2 FPvs SEA	8.7 FPvs HOUHigher projection
Week 18	7.6 FPvs ATLHigher projection	7.5 FPvs DET