Should I drop Patrick Mahomes II for Trevor Lawrence?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

Trevor Lawrence is behind by 0.1 FP this week, ahead by 29.8 FP across the remaining schedule, and ahead by 17.8 FP in Weeks 15–18. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. Use GamePlan to check your actual starters, bench depth and league playoff weeks. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 2:34 AM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Patrick Mahomes II

QB · KC · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

19.3FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

89.5%rostered on ESPN-0.04 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Trevor Lawrence

QB · JAC · vs BAL

Stats & schedule ›

19.2FF projected FP

Nov 5, 8:15 PM ET

91.9%rostered on ESPN-0.04 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Patrick Mahomes II is 89.5% rostered; Trevor Lawrence is 91.9% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Patrick Mahomes II

Patrick Mahomes II projects for 19.3 Standard points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 14.0 FP. He is rostered in 89.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.04 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 19.3 FP
ESPN: 18.2 FP
Sleeper: 20.8 FP
FantasyPros: 19.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 16.0 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence projects for 19.2 Standard points against BAL this week. His recent scoring average is 23.4 FP. He is rostered in 91.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.04 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 19.2 FP
ESPN: 20.4 FP
Sleeper: 19.1 FP
FantasyPros: 19.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 18.3 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Patrick Mahomes II	Trevor Lawrence
Next 3 weeks	59.2 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	62.8 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	187.3 FP10/10 scheduled games projected	217.0 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	74.4 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	92.2 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Patrick Mahomes II	Trevor Lawrence
Week 9	19.3 FPvs NYJHigher projection	19.2 FPvs BAL
Week 10	17.3 FPvs ATL	22.0 FPvs TENHigher projection
Week 11	22.6 FPvs ARIHigher projection	21.5 FPvs NYG
Week 12	19.0 FPvs BUF	22.5 FPvs TENHigher projection
Week 13	16.4 FPvs LAR	20.8 FPvs CHIHigher projection
Week 14	18.2 FPvs CIN	18.8 FPvs PITHigher projection
Week 15	18.2 FPvs NE	20.9 FPvs HOUHigher projection
Week 16	17.5 FPvs SF	24.8 FPvs DALHigher projection
Week 17	17.6 FPvs LAC	24.7 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 18	21.2 FPvs LV	21.9 FPvs INDHigher projection