Should I drop Patrick Mahomes II for Caleb Williams?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Patrick Mahomes II

Patrick Mahomes II retains a 15.4 FP remaining-schedule advantage. The current-week projection also gives no clear reason to make this drop. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 2:19 AM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Patrick Mahomes II

QB · KC · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

19.3FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

89.5%rostered on ESPN-0.04 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Caleb Williams

QB · CHI · vs TB

Stats & schedule ›

16.5FF projected FP

Nov 8, 8:20 PM ET

89.8%rostered on ESPN-0.01 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Patrick Mahomes II is 89.5% rostered; Caleb Williams is 89.8% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Patrick Mahomes II

Patrick Mahomes II projects for 19.3 Standard points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 14.0 FP. He is rostered in 89.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.04 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 19.3 FP
ESPN: 18.2 FP
Sleeper: 20.8 FP
FantasyPros: 19.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 16.0 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams projects for 16.5 Standard points against TB this week. His recent scoring average is 17.5 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 7.5%. He is rostered in 89.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.01 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 16.5 FP
ESPN: 16.4 FP
Sleeper: 15.6 FP
FantasyPros: 17.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 16.9 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Patrick Mahomes II	Caleb Williams
Next 3 weeks	59.2 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	36.3 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Remaining regular-season schedule	187.3 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	171.9 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	74.4 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	73.6 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Patrick Mahomes II	Caleb Williams
Week 9	19.3 FPvs NYJHigher projection	16.5 FPvs TB
Week 10	17.3 FPvs ATLHigher projection	BYE
Week 11	22.6 FPvs ARIHigher projection	19.8 FPvs NO
Week 12	19.0 FPvs BUF	22.9 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 13	16.4 FPvs LAR	17.2 FPvs JACHigher projection
Week 14	18.2 FPvs CIN	21.8 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 15	18.2 FPvs NE	19.3 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 16	17.5 FPvs SFHigher projection	17.1 FPvs GB
Week 17	17.6 FPvs LAC	23.3 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 18	21.2 FPvs LVHigher projection	13.9 FPvs MIN