Should I drop Nick Folk for Wil Lutz?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Wil Lutz for Nick Folk

This week’s projections are 7.2 FP for Nick Folk and 8.1 FP for Wil Lutz. Wil Lutz leads by 13.3 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:10 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Nick Folk

K · ATL · vs CIN

Stats & schedule ›

7.2FF projected FP

Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET

4.9%rostered on ESPN-0.13 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Wil Lutz

K · DEN · vs CAR

Stats & schedule ›

8.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

7.0%rostered on ESPN+0.32 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Nick Folk is 4.9% rostered; Wil Lutz is 7.0% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Nick Folk

Nick Folk projects for 7.2 Standard points against CIN this week. His recent scoring average is 3.3 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 3.75%. He is rostered in 4.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.13 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 7.2 FP -0.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 7.4 FP
Sleeper: 8.0 FP
FantasyPros: 7.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.5 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Wil Lutz

Wil Lutz projects for 8.1 Standard points against CAR this week. His recent scoring average is 10.0 FP. He is rostered in 7.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.32 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 8.1 FP -0.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.8 FP
Sleeper: 7.4 FP
FantasyPros: 7.6 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 3:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Nick Folk	Wil Lutz
Next 3 weeks	14.0 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	16.6 FPHigher projection2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Remaining regular-season schedule	61.4 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	74.7 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	28.1 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	33.0 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Nick Folk	Wil Lutz
Week 9	7.2 FPvs CIN	8.1 FPvs CARHigher projection
Week 10	6.8 FPvs KCHigher projection	BYE
Week 11	BYE	8.5 FPvs LVHigher projection
Week 12	6.2 FPvs MIN	8.5 FPvs PITHigher projection
Week 13	6.4 FPvs DET	8.4 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 14	6.7 FPvs CLE	8.1 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 15	6.9 FPvs WAS	8.3 FPvs LVHigher projection
Week 16	7.1 FPvs TB	8.4 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 17	7.3 FPvs NO	8.0 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 18	6.9 FPvs CAR	8.2 FPvs LACHigher projection