Should I drop Malik Willis for Justin Herbert?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Malik Willis

This week’s projections are 19.2 FP for Malik Willis and 12.1 FP for Justin Herbert. Malik Willis retains a 39.9 FP advantage across the evaluated weeks. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 3:15 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Malik Willis

QB · MIA · vs DET

Stats & schedule ›

19.2FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

Planning a bid? Malik Willis FAAB guide ↗

21.8%rostered on ESPN+2.51 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Justin Herbert

QB · LAC · vs HOU

Stats & schedule ›

12.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET

32.5%rostered on ESPN-0.46 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Malik Willis is 21.8% rostered; Justin Herbert is 32.5% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Malik Willis

Malik Willis projects for 19.2 Standard points against DET this week. His recent scoring average is 20.3 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 21.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 2.51 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 19.2 FP +1.8vs ESPN
ESPN: 17.4 FP
Sleeper: 17.3 FP
FantasyPros: 17.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 16.1 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert projects for 12.1 Standard points against HOU this week. His recent scoring average is 8.3 FP. He is rostered in 32.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.46 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 12.1 FP -0.4vs ESPN
ESPN: 12.5 FP
Sleeper: 12.7 FP
FantasyPros: 13.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 12.5 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 2:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Malik Willis	Justin Herbert
Next 3 weeks	52.8 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	37.5 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	162.4 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	122.5 FP10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	61.8 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	48.0 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Malik Willis	Justin Herbert
Week 9	19.2 FPvs DETHigher projection	12.1 FPvs HOU
Week 10	17.4 FPvs INDHigher projection	12.3 FPvs BAL
Week 11	16.2 FPvs BUFHigher projection	13.2 FPvs NYJ
Week 12	16.5 FPvs NYJHigher projection	12.5 FPvs NE
Week 13	15.0 FPvs DENHigher projection	10.3 FPvs TB
Week 14	16.2 FPvs CHIHigher projection	14.2 FPvs LV
Week 15	14.5 FPvs GBHigher projection	11.5 FPvs SF
Week 16	15.2 FPvs LACHigher projection	14.3 FPvs MIA
Week 17	16.5 FPvs BUFHigher projection	11.2 FPvs KC
Week 18	15.7 FPvs NEHigher projection	11.0 FPvs DEN