Should I drop Kirk Cousins for Patrick Mahomes II?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

This week’s projections are 16.3 FP for Kirk Cousins and 19.4 FP for Patrick Mahomes II. Patrick Mahomes II is ahead by 40.3 FP across the evaluated weeks and behind by 2.7 FP in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 3:15 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Kirk Cousins

QB · LV · vs SF

Stats & schedule ›

16.3FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

Planning a bid? Kirk Cousins FAAB guide ↗

62.7%rostered on ESPN+0.09 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Patrick Mahomes II

QB · KC · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

19.4FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

92.7%rostered on ESPN+0.36 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Kirk Cousins is 62.7% rostered; Patrick Mahomes II is 92.7% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins projects for 16.3 Standard points against SF this week. His recent scoring average is 22.4 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 1.25%. He is rostered in 62.7% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.09 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 16.3 FP +1.4vs ESPN
ESPN: 14.9 FP
Sleeper: 16.8 FP
FantasyPros: 15.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 13.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Patrick Mahomes II

Patrick Mahomes II projects for 19.4 Standard points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 14.0 FP. He is rostered in 92.7% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.36 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 19.4 FP +1.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 18.2 FP
Sleeper: 21.0 FP
FantasyPros: 20.1 FP
Boosted Trees: 16.0 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 2:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Kirk Cousins	Patrick Mahomes II
Next 3 weeks	42.2 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	59.2 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	147.7 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 13 · cover needed	188.0 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	76.8 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	74.1 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Kirk Cousins	Patrick Mahomes II
Week 9	16.3 FPvs SF	19.4 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 10	14.6 FPvs SEA	17.4 FPvs ATLHigher projection
Week 11	11.3 FPvs DEN	22.4 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 12	11.5 FPvs CLE	19.0 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 13	BYE	16.4 FPvs LARHigher projection
Week 14	17.2 FPvs LAC	19.3 FPvs CINHigher projection
Week 15	17.2 FPvs DEN	18.6 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 16	19.1 FPvs TENHigher projection	17.5 FPvs SF
Week 17	23.6 FPvs ARIHigher projection	17.4 FPvs LAC
Week 18	17.0 FPvs KC	20.7 FPvs LVHigher projection