Should I drop Ka'imi Fairbairn for Matt Gay?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

This week’s projections are 9.3 FP for Ka'imi Fairbairn and 9.1 FP for Matt Gay. Matt Gay is behind by 11.7 FP across the evaluated weeks and ahead by 1.0 FP in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:10 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Ka'imi Fairbairn

K · HOU · vs LAC

Stats & schedule ›

9.3FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET

82.3%rostered on ESPN+1.21 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Matt Gay

K · LV · vs SF

Stats & schedule ›

9.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

57.8%rostered on ESPN+0.01 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Ka'imi Fairbairn is 82.3% rostered; Matt Gay is 57.8% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Ka'imi Fairbairn

Ka'imi Fairbairn projects for 9.3 Standard points against LAC this week. His recent scoring average is 11.0 FP. He is rostered in 82.3% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 1.21 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 9.3 FP -0.5vs ESPN
ESPN: 9.8 FP
Sleeper: 9.0 FP
FantasyPros: 8.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.4 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Matt Gay

Matt Gay projects for 9.1 Standard points against SF this week. His recent scoring average is 10.0 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 57.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.01 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 9.1 FP -0.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 9.3 FP
Sleeper: 8.2 FP
FantasyPros: 7.6 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 3:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Ka'imi Fairbairn	Matt Gay
Next 3 weeks	28.8 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	26.4 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	94.2 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	82.4 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 13 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	36.5 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	37.5 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Ka'imi Fairbairn	Matt Gay
Week 9	9.3 FPvs LACHigher projection	9.1 FPvs SF
Week 10	8.9 FPvs CLEHigher projection	8.6 FPvs SEA
Week 11	10.6 FPvs INDHigher projection	8.8 FPvs DEN
Week 12	9.5 FPvs BALHigher projection	9.0 FPvs CLE
Week 13	9.7 FPvs PITHigher projection	BYE
Week 14	9.6 FPvs WASHigher projection	9.5 FPvs LAC
Week 15	9.2 FPvs JAC	9.2 FPvs DEN
Week 16	9.4 FPvs PHI	10.0 FPvs TENHigher projection
Week 17	8.3 FPvs GB	9.6 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 18	9.7 FPvs TENHigher projection	8.9 FPvs KC