Should I drop Gardner Minshew II for Tyler Shough?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Tyler Shough for Gardner Minshew II

This week’s projections are 10.4 FP for Gardner Minshew II and 16.8 FP for Tyler Shough. Tyler Shough leads by 37.5 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 11:50 AM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Gardner Minshew II

QB · ARI · vs SEA

Stats & schedule ›

10.4FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

Planning a bid? Gardner Minshew II FAAB guide ↗

3.1%rostered on ESPN-0.02 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Tyler Shough

QB · NO · vs CLE

Stats & schedule ›

16.8FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

65.2%rostered on ESPN-0.16 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Gardner Minshew II is 3.1% rostered; Tyler Shough is 65.2% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Gardner Minshew II

Gardner Minshew II projects for 10.4 Standard points against SEA this week. His recent scoring average is 9.8 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 8.75%. He is rostered in 3.1% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.02 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 10.4 FP -1.3vs ESPN
ESPN: 11.7 FP
Sleeper: 10.4 FP
FantasyPros: 12.4 FP

Tyler Shough

Tyler Shough projects for 16.8 Standard points against CLE this week. His recent scoring average is 20.4 FP. He is rostered in 65.2% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.16 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 16.8 FP +1.5vs ESPN
ESPN: 15.3 FP
Sleeper: 14.8 FP
FantasyPros: 16.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 15.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 11:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Gardner Minshew II	Tyler Shough
Next 3 weeks	36.0 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	50.1 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	127.7 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 14 · cover needed	165.2 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	60.5 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	66.1 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Gardner Minshew II	Tyler Shough
Week 9	10.4 FPvs SEA	16.8 FPvs CLEHigher projection
Week 10	13.1 FPvs LAR	16.6 FPvs CARHigher projection
Week 11	12.5 FPvs KC	16.7 FPvs CHIHigher projection
Week 12	16.6 FPvs WAS	17.3 FPvs CINHigher projection
Week 13	14.6 FPvs PHI	15.3 FPvs GBHigher projection
Week 14	BYE	16.3 FPvs CARHigher projection
Week 15	15.3 FPvs NYJHigher projection	14.4 FPvs TB
Week 16	15.3 FPvs NO	21.2 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 17	16.6 FPvs LVHigher projection	15.8 FPvs ATL
Week 18	13.3 FPvs SF	14.6 FPvs TBHigher projection