Should I drop Deshaun Watson for Michael Penix Jr.?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Ultra Smash: add Michael Penix Jr. for Deshaun Watson

This week’s projections are 8.1 FP for Deshaun Watson and 15.6 FP for Michael Penix Jr.. Michael Penix Jr. leads by 50.5 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call. Deshaun Watson is questionable; an injury designation alone is not a reason to drop him.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:48 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Deshaun Watson

QB · CLE · vs NO

Stats & schedule ›

8.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

Check current availability

Planning a bid? Deshaun Watson FAAB guide ↗

11.1%rostered on ESPN-0.77 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Michael Penix Jr.

QB · ATL · vs CIN

Stats & schedule ›

15.6FF projected FP

Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET

Planning a bid? Michael Penix Jr. FAAB guide ↗

15.7%rostered on ESPN-0.13 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Deshaun Watson is 11.1% rostered; Michael Penix Jr. is 15.7% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson projects for 8.1 Standard points against NO this week. His recent scoring average is 12.9 FP. He is rostered in 11.1% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.77 percentage points. His injury designation needs monitoring; it does not by itself justify dropping him. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 8.1 FP
Sleeper: 0.0 FP
FantasyPros: 0.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 15.7 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Michael Penix Jr.

Michael Penix Jr. projects for 15.6 Standard points against CIN this week. His recent scoring average is 13.9 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 5%. He is rostered in 15.7% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.13 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 15.6 FP -0.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 15.8 FP
Sleeper: 16.1 FP
FantasyPros: 16.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 14.7 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 4:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Deshaun Watson	Michael Penix Jr.
Next 3 weeks	22.4 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	29.9 FPHigher projection2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed
Remaining regular-season schedule	86.3 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	136.8 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	35.8 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	62.4 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Deshaun Watson	Michael Penix Jr.
Week 9	8.1 FPvs NO	15.6 FPvs CINHigher projection
Week 10	14.3 FPvs HOU	14.3 FPvs KC
Week 11	BYE	BYE
Week 12	10.4 FPvs LV	11.0 FPvs MINHigher projection
Week 13	9.0 FPvs CIN	19.6 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 14	8.7 FPvs ATL	13.9 FPvs CLEHigher projection
Week 15	9.0 FPvs NYG	17.5 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 16	8.3 FPvs BAL	13.0 FPvs TBHigher projection
Week 17	9.9 FPvs IND	17.0 FPvs NOHigher projection
Week 18	8.6 FPvs CIN	14.9 FPvs CARHigher projection