Should I drop Charlie Smyth for Jake Bates?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Jake Bates for Charlie Smyth

This week’s projections are 8.1 FP for Charlie Smyth and 8.7 FP for Jake Bates. Jake Bates leads by 11.6 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 12, 10:42 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Charlie Smyth

K · NO · vs CAR

Stats & schedule ›

8.1FF projected FP

Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET

1.0%rostered on ESPN+0.42 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Jake Bates

K · DET · vs NE

Stats & schedule ›

8.7FF projected FP

Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET

54.5%rostered on ESPN+0.86 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Charlie Smyth is 1.0% rostered; Jake Bates is 54.5% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Charlie Smyth

Charlie Smyth projects for 8.1 Standard points against CAR this week. He is rostered in 1.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.42 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 8.1 FP -0.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.7 FP
Sleeper: 8.1 FP
FantasyPros: 7.7 FP

Jake Bates

Jake Bates projects for 8.7 Standard points against NE this week. His recent scoring average is 10.0 FP. He is rostered in 54.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.86 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 8.7 FP -0.5vs ESPN
ESPN: 9.2 FP
Sleeper: 8.3 FP
FantasyPros: 8.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 12, 10:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Charlie Smyth	Jake Bates
Next 3 weeks	21.5 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	25.8 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	64.3 FP9/9 scheduled games projected	75.9 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	29.2 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	31.9 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Charlie Smyth	Jake Bates
Week 10	8.1 FPvs CAR	8.7 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 11	6.3 FPvs CHI	9.0 FPvs TBHigher projection
Week 12	7.0 FPvs CIN	8.1 FPvs CHIHigher projection
Week 13	6.4 FPvs GB	8.7 FPvs ATLHigher projection
Week 14	7.2 FPvs CAR	9.6 FPvs TENHigher projection
Week 15	7.0 FPvs TB	8.3 FPvs MINHigher projection
Week 16	7.5 FPvs ARI	8.3 FPvs NYGHigher projection
Week 17	7.6 FPvs ATL	7.7 FPvs CHIHigher projection
Week 18	7.2 FPvs TB	7.6 FPvs GBHigher projection