Should I drop Carson Beck for Drake Maye?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Ultra Smash: add Drake Maye for Carson Beck

This week’s projections are 10.9 FP for Carson Beck and 24.6 FP for Drake Maye. Drake Maye leads by 107.0 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 11, 6:13 AM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Carson Beck

QB · ARI · vs LAR

Stats & schedule ›

10.9FF projected FP

Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET

0.9%rostered on ESPN+0.54 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Drake Maye

QB · NE · vs DET

Stats & schedule ›

24.6FF projected FP

Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET

98.9%rostered on ESPN+0.03 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Carson Beck is 0.9% rostered; Drake Maye is 98.9% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Carson Beck

Carson Beck projects for 10.9 Standard points against LAR this week. He is rostered in 0.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.54 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 10.9 FP +1.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 9.3 FP
Sleeper: 10.5 FP
FantasyPros: 12.1 FP

Drake Maye

Drake Maye projects for 24.6 Standard points against DET this week. His recent scoring average is 22.7 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 98.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.03 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 24.6 FP +2.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 22.0 FP
Sleeper: 22.2 FP
FantasyPros: 21.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 24.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 11, 5:31 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Carson Beck	Drake Maye
Next 3 weeks	23.0 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	46.8 FPHigher projection2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed
Remaining regular-season schedule	64.1 FP8/8 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 14 · cover needed	171.1 FPHigher projection8/8 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	33.4 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	85.3 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Carson Beck	Drake Maye
Week 10	10.9 FPvs LAR	24.6 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 11	5.0 FPvs KCHigher projection	BYE
Week 12	7.2 FPvs WAS	22.3 FPvs LACHigher projection
Week 13	7.7 FPvs PHI	22.0 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 14	BYE	16.9 FPvs MINHigher projection
Week 15	8.8 FPvs NYJ	17.3 FPvs KCHigher projection
Week 16	8.2 FPvs NO	23.4 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 17	10.2 FPvs LV	20.7 FPvs DENHigher projection
Week 18	6.2 FPvs SF	23.9 FPvs MIAHigher projection