Should I drop Cairo Santos for Wil Lutz?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Cairo Santos

This week’s projections are 8.8 FP for Cairo Santos and 8.1 FP for Wil Lutz. Cairo Santos retains a 1.6 FP advantage across the evaluated weeks. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:48 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Cairo Santos

K · CHI · vs TB

Stats & schedule ›

8.8FF projected FP

Nov 8, 8:20 PM ET

37.9%rostered on ESPN+1.49 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Wil Lutz

K · DEN · vs CAR

Stats & schedule ›

8.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

7.0%rostered on ESPN+0.30 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Cairo Santos is 37.9% rostered; Wil Lutz is 7.0% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Cairo Santos

Cairo Santos projects for 8.8 Standard points against TB this week. His recent scoring average is 11.0 FP. He is rostered in 37.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 1.49 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 8.8 FP -0.4vs ESPN
ESPN: 9.2 FP
Sleeper: 8.1 FP
FantasyPros: 8.2 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.7 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Wil Lutz

Wil Lutz projects for 8.1 Standard points against CAR this week. His recent scoring average is 10.0 FP. He is rostered in 7.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.30 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 8.1 FP -0.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.8 FP
Sleeper: 7.4 FP
FantasyPros: 7.6 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 4:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Cairo Santos	Wil Lutz
Next 3 weeks	18.0 FPHigher projection2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed	16.6 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Remaining regular-season schedule	76.3 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed	74.7 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	33.2 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	33.0 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Cairo Santos	Wil Lutz
Week 9	8.8 FPvs TBHigher projection	8.1 FPvs CAR
Week 10	BYE	BYE
Week 11	9.3 FPvs NOHigher projection	8.5 FPvs LV
Week 12	8.0 FPvs DET	8.5 FPvs PITHigher projection
Week 13	8.3 FPvs JAC	8.4 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 14	8.9 FPvs MIAHigher projection	8.1 FPvs NYJ
Week 15	8.8 FPvs BUFHigher projection	8.3 FPvs LV
Week 16	8.2 FPvs GB	8.4 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 17	8.1 FPvs DETHigher projection	8.0 FPvs NE
Week 18	8.1 FPvs MIN	8.2 FPvs LACHigher projection