Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Joe Burrow?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Ultra Smash: add Joe Burrow for Aaron Rodgers

This week’s projections are 14.9 FP for Aaron Rodgers and 22.2 FP for Joe Burrow. Joe Burrow leads by 87.3 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 11, 10:47 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Aaron Rodgers

QB · PIT · vs CIN

Stats & schedule ›

14.9FF projected FP

Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET

Planning a bid? Aaron Rodgers FAAB guide ↗

35.8%rostered on ESPN+3.03 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Joe Burrow

QB · CIN · vs PIT

Stats & schedule ›

22.2FF projected FP

Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET

99.2%rostered on ESPN+0.11 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Aaron Rodgers is 35.8% rostered; Joe Burrow is 99.2% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers projects for 14.9 Standard points against CIN this week. His recent scoring average is 9.0 FP. He is rostered in 35.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 3.03 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 14.9 FP +0.1vs ESPN
ESPN: 14.8 FP
Sleeper: 17.2 FP
FantasyPros: 16.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 15.6 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow projects for 22.2 Standard points against PIT this week. His recent scoring average is 32.6 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 5%. He is rostered in 99.2% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.11 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 22.2 FP +3.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 19.0 FP
Sleeper: 21.8 FP
FantasyPros: 21.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 18.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 11, 10:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Aaron Rodgers	Joe Burrow
Next 3 weeks	42.7 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	72.7 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	128.5 FP9/9 scheduled games projected	215.7 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	59.3 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	99.6 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Aaron Rodgers	Joe Burrow
Week 10	14.9 FPvs CIN	22.2 FPvs PITHigher projection
Week 11	14.2 FPvs PHI	24.7 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 12	13.5 FPvs DEN	25.7 FPvs NOHigher projection
Week 13	14.7 FPvs HOU	23.0 FPvs CLEHigher projection
Week 14	11.8 FPvs JAC	20.4 FPvs KCHigher projection
Week 15	15.0 FPvs BAL	24.1 FPvs CARHigher projection
Week 16	14.5 FPvs CAR	27.3 FPvs INDHigher projection
Week 17	15.1 FPvs TEN	24.7 FPvs BALHigher projection
Week 18	14.7 FPvs BAL	23.4 FPvs CLEHigher projection