Should I drop Mark Andrews for Rico Dowdle?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

Rico Dowdle is ahead by 0.6 FP this week, ahead by 7.1 FP across the remaining schedule, and ahead by 3.9 FP in Weeks 15–18. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. Use GamePlan to check your actual starters, bench depth and league playoff weeks. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team. They share FLEX eligibility, but this move changes your dedicated-position depth.

Forecast updated Oct 30, 12:49 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Mark Andrews

TE · BAL · vs BUF

Stats & schedule ›

8.4FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

66.9%rostered on ESPN+0.03 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Rico Dowdle

RB · PIT · vs CLE

Stats & schedule ›

9.0FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

64.3%rostered on ESPN+1.71 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Mark Andrews is 66.9% rostered; Rico Dowdle is 64.3% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews projects for 8.4 PPR points against BUF this week. His recent scoring average is 3.8 FP. He is rostered in 66.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.03 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 8.4 FP
ESPN: 9.6 FP
Sleeper: 9.1 FP
FantasyPros: 9.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 10.0 FP
Workload: 7.0 FP
Monte Carlo: 6.8 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:26 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · includes FantasyPros stat inputs · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · conditional on availability · central 80%: -0.3–16.1 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle projects for 9.0 PPR points against CLE this week. His recent scoring average is 11.3 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 1.25%. He is rostered in 64.3% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 1.71 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 9.0 FP
ESPN: 9.3 FP
Sleeper: 8.8 FP
FantasyPros: 9.1 FP
Boosted Trees: 6.5 FP
Workload: 9.6 FP
Monte Carlo: 9.7 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:26 AM ET
Workload: Experimental · includes FantasyPros stat inputs · saved Oct 28, 9:08 PM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 2.7–18.6 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster snapshot Oct 30, 12:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Mark Andrews	Rico Dowdle
Next 3 weeks	25.1 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	17.9 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Remaining regular-season schedule	82.3 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	89.4 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	32.9 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	36.7 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Mark Andrews	Rico Dowdle
Week 8	8.4 FPvs BUF	9.0 FPvs CLEHigher projection
Week 9	8.4 FPvs JACHigher projection	BYE
Week 10	8.3 FPvs LAC	8.8 FPvs CINHigher projection
Week 11	8.0 FPvs CAR	8.9 FPvs PHIHigher projection
Week 12	7.9 FPvs HOU	8.8 FPvs DENHigher projection
Week 13	BYE	9.1 FPvs HOUHigher projection
Week 14	8.4 FPvs TBHigher projection	7.9 FPvs JAC
Week 15	8.2 FPvs PIT	8.5 FPvs BALHigher projection
Week 16	7.9 FPvs CLE	10.3 FPvs CARHigher projection
Week 17	8.5 FPvs CIN	9.5 FPvs TENHigher projection
Week 18	8.2 FPvs PIT	8.4 FPvs BALHigher projection

Outlook updated Oct 30, 1:03 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · FLEX

More options. The same scale.

FF–Monte Carlo midpoint order within this pickup pool. The window connects two estimates; it is not a confidence interval. Rankings may differ from the FF points-only call above.

8.4 FP12.6 FP