Should I drop Kyle Pitts Sr. for T.J. Hockenson?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Smash: add T.J. Hockenson for Kyle Pitts Sr.

This week’s projections are 10.4 FP for Kyle Pitts Sr. and 11.3 FP for T.J. Hockenson. T.J. Hockenson leads by 23.0 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:48 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Kyle Pitts Sr.

TE · ATL · vs CIN

Stats & schedule ›

10.4FF projected FP

Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET

84.8%rostered on ESPN+0.17 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

T.J. Hockenson

TE · MIN · vs BUF

Stats & schedule ›

11.3FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

80.9%rostered on ESPN+0.40 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Kyle Pitts Sr. is 84.8% rostered; T.J. Hockenson is 80.9% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Kyle Pitts Sr.

Kyle Pitts Sr. projects for 10.4 PPR points against CIN this week. His recent scoring average is 12.9 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 1.25%. He is rostered in 84.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.17 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 10.4 FP +0.3vs ESPN
ESPN: 10.1 FP
Sleeper: 9.9 FP
FantasyPros: 9.7 FP

T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson projects for 11.3 PPR points against BUF this week. His recent scoring average is 14.7 FP. He is rostered in 80.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.40 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 11.3 FP +0.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 10.7 FP
Sleeper: 10.9 FP
FantasyPros: 10.0 FP

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 4:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Kyle Pitts Sr.	T.J. Hockenson
Next 3 weeks	20.9 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	32.7 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	92.2 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	115.2 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	41.6 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	48.6 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Kyle Pitts Sr.	T.J. Hockenson
Week 9	10.4 FPvs CIN	11.3 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 10	10.4 FPvs KCHigher projection	10.1 FPvs GB
Week 11	BYE	11.2 FPvs SFHigher projection
Week 12	8.4 FPvs MIN	11.3 FPvs ATLHigher projection
Week 13	11.5 FPvs DETHigher projection	11.3 FPvs CAR
Week 14	9.7 FPvs CLE	11.4 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 15	11.3 FPvs WAS	13.0 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 16	9.8 FPvs TB	12.8 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 17	10.7 FPvs NO	11.4 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 18	9.9 FPvs CAR	11.4 FPvs CHIHigher projection