Should I drop AJ Barner for Isaiah Likely?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Ultra Smash: add Isaiah Likely for AJ Barner

This week’s projections are 7.8 FP for AJ Barner and 12.0 FP for Isaiah Likely. Isaiah Likely leads by 61.0 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 12:39 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

AJ Barner

TE · SEA · vs ARI

Stats & schedule ›

7.8FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

Planning a bid? AJ Barner FAAB guide ↗

7.2%rostered on ESPN-0.04 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Isaiah Likely

TE · NYG · vs PHI

Stats & schedule ›

12.0FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

95.5%rostered on ESPN+0.04 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

AJ Barner is 7.2% rostered; Isaiah Likely is 95.5% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

AJ Barner

AJ Barner projects for 7.8 PPR points against ARI this week. His recent scoring average is 5.8 FP. He is rostered in 7.2% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.04 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 7.8 FP -0.5vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.3 FP
Sleeper: 7.9 FP
FantasyPros: 7.7 FP

Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely projects for 12.0 PPR points against PHI this week. His recent scoring average is 13.6 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 7.5%. He is rostered in 95.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.04 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 12.0 FP -0.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 12.7 FP
Sleeper: 11.5 FP
FantasyPros: 12.4 FP

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 12:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	AJ Barner	Isaiah Likely
Next 3 weeks	16.7 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	40.3 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	70.5 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	131.4 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	29.6 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	53.6 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	AJ Barner	Isaiah Likely
Week 9	7.8 FPvs ARI	12.0 FPvs PHIHigher projection
Week 10	8.9 FPvs LV	15.3 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 11	BYE	13.0 FPvs JACHigher projection
Week 12	7.7 FPvs SF	13.3 FPvs INDHigher projection
Week 13	8.5 FPvs DAL	12.9 FPvs SFHigher projection
Week 14	8.0 FPvs NYG	11.4 FPvs SEAHigher projection
Week 15	7.1 FPvs PHI	12.2 FPvs CLEHigher projection
Week 16	7.4 FPvs LAR	15.4 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 17	7.8 FPvs CAR	14.1 FPvs DALHigher projection
Week 18	7.3 FPvs LAR	11.8 FPvs PHIHigher projection