Should I drop Travis Kelce for T.J. Hockenson?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

This week’s projections are 9.9 FP for Travis Kelce and 9.2 FP for T.J. Hockenson. T.J. Hockenson is behind by 4.1 FP across the evaluated weeks and ahead by 0.7 FP in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 12:09 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Travis Kelce

TE · KC · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

9.9FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

92.3%rostered on ESPN+0.02 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

T.J. Hockenson

TE · MIN · vs BUF

Stats & schedule ›

9.2FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

81.0%rostered on ESPN+0.03 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Travis Kelce is 92.3% rostered; T.J. Hockenson is 81.0% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce projects for 9.9 Half-PPR points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 7.6 FP. He is rostered in 92.3% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.02 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 9.9 FP +1.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.7 FP
Sleeper: 10.9 FP
FantasyPros: 10.1 FP
Boosted Trees: 7.7 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson projects for 9.2 Half-PPR points against BUF this week. His recent scoring average is 12.7 FP. He is rostered in 81.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.03 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 9.2 FP +0.9vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.3 FP
Sleeper: 8.4 FP
FantasyPros: 7.8 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 11:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Travis Kelce	T.J. Hockenson
Next 3 weeks	29.8 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	26.0 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	97.6 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	93.4 FP10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	39.2 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	39.9 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Travis Kelce	T.J. Hockenson
Week 9	9.9 FPvs NYJHigher projection	9.2 FPvs BUF
Week 10	9.4 FPvs ATLHigher projection	8.0 FPvs GB
Week 11	10.4 FPvs ARIHigher projection	8.8 FPvs SF
Week 12	9.8 FPvs BUFHigher projection	9.1 FPvs ATL
Week 13	9.0 FPvs LAR	9.2 FPvs CARHigher projection
Week 14	9.8 FPvs CINHigher projection	9.2 FPvs NE
Week 15	9.7 FPvs NE	10.7 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 16	9.3 FPvs SF	10.5 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 17	9.3 FPvs LAC	9.3 FPvs NYJ
Week 18	10.9 FPvs LVHigher projection	9.4 FPvs CHI