Should I drop Mike Gesicki for Dalton Kincaid?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Dalton Kincaid for Mike Gesicki

This week’s projections are 8.1 FP for Mike Gesicki and 7.6 FP for Dalton Kincaid. Dalton Kincaid leads by 9.4 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 5:13 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Mike Gesicki

TE · CIN · vs ATL

Stats & schedule ›

8.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET

Planning a bid? Mike Gesicki FAAB guide ↗

25.5%rostered on ESPN+1.90 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Dalton Kincaid

TE · BUF · vs MIN

Stats & schedule ›

7.6FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

77.4%rostered on ESPN-0.07 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Mike Gesicki is 25.5% rostered; Dalton Kincaid is 77.4% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki projects for 8.1 Half-PPR points against ATL this week. His recent scoring average is 11.3 FP. He is rostered in 25.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 1.90 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 8.1 FP +1.3vs ESPN
ESPN: 6.8 FP
Sleeper: 8.5 FP
FantasyPros: 7.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 6.5 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid projects for 7.6 Half-PPR points against MIN this week. His recent scoring average is 11.9 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 77.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.07 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 7.6 FP +0.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 6.9 FP
Sleeper: 7.8 FP
FantasyPros: 7.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 6.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 4:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Mike Gesicki	Dalton Kincaid
Next 3 weeks	25.3 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	27.0 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	82.2 FP10/10 scheduled games projected	91.6 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	32.1 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	37.7 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Mike Gesicki	Dalton Kincaid
Week 9	8.1 FPvs ATLHigher projection	7.6 FPvs MIN
Week 10	8.1 FPvs PIT	9.2 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 11	9.2 FPvs WAS	10.2 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 12	8.7 FPvs NO	9.5 FPvs KCHigher projection
Week 13	7.8 FPvs CLE	9.2 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 14	8.3 FPvs KC	8.3 FPvs GB
Week 15	8.0 FPvs CAR	9.2 FPvs CHIHigher projection
Week 16	8.2 FPvs IND	9.1 FPvs DENHigher projection
Week 17	8.1 FPvs BAL	10.2 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 18	7.8 FPvs CLE	9.2 FPvs NYJHigher projection