Should I drop George Kittle for Trey McBride?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

This week’s projections are 14.6 FP for George Kittle and 12.0 FP for Trey McBride. Trey McBride is behind by 1.6 FP across the evaluated weeks and ahead by 6.6 FP in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 12:09 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

George Kittle

TE · SF · vs LV

Stats & schedule ›

14.6FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

98.5%rostered on ESPN+0.03 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Trey McBride

TE · ARI · vs SEA

Stats & schedule ›

12.0FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

99.9%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

George Kittle is 98.5% rostered; Trey McBride is 99.9% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

George Kittle

George Kittle projects for 14.6 Half-PPR points against LV this week. His recent scoring average is 13.1 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 6.25%. He is rostered in 98.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.03 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 14.6 FP +1.0vs ESPN
ESPN: 13.6 FP
Sleeper: 13.1 FP
FantasyPros: 13.6 FP
Boosted Trees: 13.8 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Trey McBride

Trey McBride projects for 12.0 Half-PPR points against SEA this week. His recent scoring average is 15.9 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 6.25%. He is rostered in 99.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 12.0 FP +1.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 10.8 FP
Sleeper: 11.8 FP
FantasyPros: 11.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 15.1 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 11:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	George Kittle	Trey McBride
Next 3 weeks	38.9 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	38.8 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	127.1 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	125.6 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 14 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	51.5 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	58.1 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	George Kittle	Trey McBride
Week 9	14.6 FPvs LVHigher projection	12.0 FPvs SEA
Week 10	13.7 FPvs DALHigher projection	13.0 FPvs LAR
Week 11	10.6 FPvs MIN	13.7 FPvs KCHigher projection
Week 12	11.5 FPvs SEA	16.1 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 13	13.0 FPvs NYGHigher projection	12.6 FPvs PHI
Week 14	12.3 FPvs LARHigher projection	BYE
Week 15	12.4 FPvs LAC	14.1 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 16	13.2 FPvs KC	14.9 FPvs NOHigher projection
Week 17	11.9 FPvs PHI	16.0 FPvs LVHigher projection
Week 18	13.9 FPvs ARIHigher projection	13.1 FPvs SF