Should I drop Dallas Goedert for Trey McBride?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Ultra Smash: add Trey McBride for Dallas Goedert

This week’s projections are 7.5 FP for Dallas Goedert and 12.0 FP for Trey McBride. Trey McBride leads by 57.8 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 12:54 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Dallas Goedert

TE · PHI · vs NYG

Stats & schedule ›

7.5FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

80.8%rostered on ESPN-0.36 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Trey McBride

TE · ARI · vs SEA

Stats & schedule ›

12.0FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

99.9%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Dallas Goedert is 80.8% rostered; Trey McBride is 99.9% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert projects for 7.5 Half-PPR points against NYG this week. His recent scoring average is 7.2 FP. He is rostered in 80.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.36 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 7.5 FP +1.0vs ESPN
ESPN: 6.5 FP
Sleeper: 8.1 FP
FantasyPros: 7.8 FP
Boosted Trees: 6.7 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Trey McBride

Trey McBride projects for 12.0 Half-PPR points against SEA this week. His recent scoring average is 15.9 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 6.25%. He is rostered in 99.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 12.0 FP +1.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 10.8 FP
Sleeper: 11.8 FP
FantasyPros: 11.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 15.1 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 12:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Dallas Goedert	Trey McBride
Next 3 weeks	15.1 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed	38.8 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	67.7 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed	125.6 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 14 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	28.7 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	58.1 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Dallas Goedert	Trey McBride
Week 9	7.5 FPvs NYG	12.0 FPvs SEAHigher projection
Week 10	BYE	13.0 FPvs LARHigher projection
Week 11	7.5 FPvs PIT	13.7 FPvs KCHigher projection
Week 12	8.1 FPvs DAL	16.1 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 13	8.2 FPvs ARI	12.6 FPvs PHIHigher projection
Week 14	7.7 FPvs INDHigher projection	BYE
Week 15	6.6 FPvs SEA	14.1 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 16	7.3 FPvs HOU	14.9 FPvs NOHigher projection
Week 17	7.3 FPvs SF	16.0 FPvs LVHigher projection
Week 18	7.5 FPvs NYG	13.1 FPvs SFHigher projection