Should I drop AJ Barner for Dallas Goedert?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Dallas Goedert for AJ Barner

This week’s projections are 6.4 FP for AJ Barner and 7.5 FP for Dallas Goedert. Dallas Goedert leads by 11.5 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 5:03 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

AJ Barner

TE · SEA · vs ARI

Stats & schedule ›

6.4FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

Planning a bid? AJ Barner FAAB guide ↗

7.3%rostered on ESPN-0.07 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Dallas Goedert

TE · PHI · vs NYG

Stats & schedule ›

7.5FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

81.0%rostered on ESPN-0.60 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

AJ Barner is 7.3% rostered; Dallas Goedert is 81.0% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

AJ Barner

AJ Barner projects for 6.4 Half-PPR points against ARI this week. His recent scoring average is 4.3 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 1.25%. He is rostered in 7.3% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.07 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 6.4 FP -0.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 7.0 FP
Sleeper: 6.5 FP
FantasyPros: 6.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 7.1 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert projects for 7.5 Half-PPR points against NYG this week. His recent scoring average is 7.2 FP. He is rostered in 81.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.60 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 7.5 FP +1.0vs ESPN
ESPN: 6.5 FP
Sleeper: 8.1 FP
FantasyPros: 7.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 6.7 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 4:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	AJ Barner	Dallas Goedert
Next 3 weeks	13.5 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	15.1 FPHigher projection2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Remaining regular-season schedule	56.2 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	67.7 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	23.6 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	28.7 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	AJ Barner	Dallas Goedert
Week 9	6.4 FPvs ARI	7.5 FPvs NYGHigher projection
Week 10	7.1 FPvs LVHigher projection	BYE
Week 11	BYE	7.5 FPvs PITHigher projection
Week 12	5.9 FPvs SF	8.1 FPvs DALHigher projection
Week 13	6.8 FPvs DAL	8.2 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 14	6.4 FPvs NYG	7.7 FPvs INDHigher projection
Week 15	5.7 FPvs PHI	6.6 FPvs SEAHigher projection
Week 16	5.9 FPvs LAR	7.3 FPvs HOUHigher projection
Week 17	6.2 FPvs CAR	7.3 FPvs SFHigher projection
Week 18	5.8 FPvs LAR	7.5 FPvs NYGHigher projection