
Should I start Drew Sample or Luke Schoonmaker in Week 9 (2026, Standard)?
THE FF CALL
Start Drew Sample
+1.1 projected edge ยท Standard
Start Drew Sample over Luke Schoonmaker for Week 9 Standard: 2.2 projected points versus 1.1.
Luke Schoonmaker: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play.
Luke Schoonmaker ยท Injury report dated
- Drew Sample: 4.2 FP recent scoring average.
- Luke Schoonmaker: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Standard

FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE
Before you make the deal.
What could Luke Schoonmaker get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.
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Luke Schoonmaker
TE ยท DALStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Drew Sample
- FF projection
- 2.2 FP +0.1vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 2.1 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.4 FP
- FantasyPros
- 1.6 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 2.0 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Drew Sample faces ATL in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 4.2 fantasy points.
Luke Schoonmaker
- FF projection
- 1.1 FP -0.2vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 1.3 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.8 FP
- FantasyPros
- 1.0 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 1.0 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Luke Schoonmaker faces IND in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. Luke Schoonmaker is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff. FantasyPros estimates a 66% chance of playing (checked Nov 6, 5:13 PM ET).
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
George KittleTE ยท SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.8Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 10.811.6Expected FP - 2
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.1Sleeper 11.7FantasyPros 10.811.6Expected FP - 3
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 8.28.6Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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