
Should I start Charlie Kolar or Jack Endries in Week 9 (2026, Standard)?
THE FF CALL
Start Charlie Kolar
+1.5 projected edge ยท Standard
Start Charlie Kolar over Jack Endries for Week 9 Standard: 2.6 projected points versus 1.1.
- Charlie Kolar: 2.0 FP recent scoring average.
- Charlie Kolar: 5% matchup reduction against HOU.
Forecast updated ยท Standard

FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE
Before you make the deal.
What could Jack Endries get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.
Browse deadline trades โ

Jack Endries
TE ยท CINStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Charlie Kolar
- FF projection
- 2.6 FP -0.4vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 3.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 2.1 FP
- FantasyPros
- 2.6 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 3.3 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Charlie Kolar faces HOU in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 2.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
Jack Endries
- FF projection
- 1.1 FP +0.3vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.8 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.1 FP
- FantasyPros
- 0.7 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 0.6 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Jack Endries faces ATL in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 3.0 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
George KittleTE ยท SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.8Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 10.811.6Expected FP - 2
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.1Sleeper 11.7FantasyPros 10.811.6Expected FP - 3
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 8.28.6Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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