
Should I start Johnny Mundt or Pharaoh Brown in Week 9 (2026, PPR)?
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Johnny Mundt
The displayed FF scores are tied. Johnny Mundt is the default preference because ESPN has a comparable saved forecast for him and not for Pharaoh Brown. Missing data is not zero, and this coverage fallback is not a statistical edge.
- Johnny Mundt: 0.5 FP recent scoring average.
- Pharaoh Brown: 0.8 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท PPR

FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE
Before you make the deal.
What could Pharaoh Brown get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.
Browse deadline trades โ

Pharaoh Brown
TE ยท INDStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Johnny Mundt
- FF projection
- 0.6 FP +0.2vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.9 FP
- FantasyPros
- 0.6 FP
Johnny Mundt faces NYG in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 0.5 fantasy points.
Pharaoh Brown
- FF projection
- 0.6 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.8 FP
- FantasyPros
- 0.4 FP
Pharaoh Brown faces DAL in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 0.8 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.2Sleeper 18.6FantasyPros 17.418.6Expected FP - 2
George KittleTE ยท SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.2Sleeper 15.2FantasyPros 16.217.4Expected FP - 3
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.3Sleeper 15.4FantasyPros 15.615.4Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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