
Should I start Bauer Sharp or Payne Durham in Week 9 (2026, PPR)?
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Payne Durham
Week 9 ยท PPR
Payne Durham has the higher current FF forecast: 0.6 FP versus 0.5 FP. The 0.1-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
- Payne Durham: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
- Bauer Sharp: 1.0 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท PPR

FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE
Before you make the deal.
What could Bauer Sharp get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.
Browse deadline trades โ

Payne Durham
TE ยท TBStats & schedule โบBauer Sharp
- Recent scoring average: 1.0 FP.
Payne Durham
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Bauer Sharp
- FF projection
- 0.5 FP Evenvs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.5 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.1 FP
- FantasyPros
- 0.5 FP
Bauer Sharp faces CHI in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 1.0 fantasy points.
Payne Durham
- FF projection
- 0.6 FP +0.1vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.5 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.2 FP
- FantasyPros
- 0.6 FP
Payne Durham faces CHI in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.2Sleeper 18.6FantasyPros 17.418.6Expected FP - 2
George KittleTE ยท SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.2Sleeper 15.2FantasyPros 16.217.4Expected FP - 3
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.3Sleeper 15.4FantasyPros 15.615.4Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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