
Should I start Andre Szmyt or Dominic Zvada in Week 9 (2026, PPR)?
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Dominic Zvada
Week 9 ยท PPR
Dominic Zvada has the higher current FF forecast: 8.2 FP versus 8.1 FP. The 0.1-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
- Dominic Zvada: 3 external sources project points.
- Andre Szmyt: 7.3 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท PPR

FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE
Before you make the deal.
What could Derrick Henry get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.
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Dominic Zvada
K ยท NYGStats & schedule โบAndre Szmyt
- Recent scoring average: 7.3 FP.
- The NO defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 2.5%.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.3 field-goal attempts per game.
Dominic Zvada
Andre Szmyt
- FF projection
- 8.1 FP -0.9vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 9.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 7.9 FP
- FantasyPros
- 7.5 FP
Andre Szmyt faces NO in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 7.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%.
Dominic Zvada
- FF projection
- 8.2 FP -2.2vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 10.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 7.7 FP
- FantasyPros
- 7.5 FP
Dominic Zvada faces PHI in Week 9.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
K. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brandon AubreyK ยท DAL vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.5Sleeper 10.0FantasyPros 9.110.9Expected FP - 2
Tyler BassK ยท BUF vs MINMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.5Sleeper 8.2FantasyPros 8.29.8Expected FP - 3
Ka'imi FairbairnK ยท HOU vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.8Sleeper 9.0FantasyPros 8.79.4Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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