
Should I start Hayden Rucci or Mo Alie-Cox in Week 9 (2026, Half-PPR)?
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Mo Alie-Cox
Week 9 ยท Half-PPR
Mo Alie-Cox has the higher current FF forecast: 0.8 FP versus 0.6 FP. The 0.2-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
- Mo Alie-Cox: 2.2 FP recent scoring average.
- Hayden Rucci: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE
Before you make the deal.
What could Hayden Rucci get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.
Browse deadline trades โ

Mo Alie-Cox
TE ยท INDStats & schedule โบHayden Rucci
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The HOU defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 5%.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Mo Alie-Cox
- His prior three-game scoring average was 6.6 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.2 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Hayden Rucci
- FF projection
- 0.6 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.4 FP
- FantasyPros
- 0.5 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 0.7 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Hayden Rucci faces HOU in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
Mo Alie-Cox
- FF projection
- 0.8 FP +0.4vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.8 FP
- FantasyPros
- 0.9 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 0.5 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Mo Alie-Cox faces DAL in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 2.2 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.7Sleeper 15.2FantasyPros 14.115.2Expected FP - 2
George KittleTE ยท SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.5Sleeper 12.7FantasyPros 13.514.4Expected FP - 3
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.8Sleeper 11.8FantasyPros 11.912.1Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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Trey McBride12.1projected FP
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Sam LaPorta10.2projected FP
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Isaiah Likely10.0projected FP
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