
Should I start Kyle Pitts Sr. or Mason Taylor? (Standard Week 18 2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Kyle Pitts Sr.
+1.1 projected edge ยท Standard
Start Kyle Pitts Sr. over Mason Taylor for Week 18 Standard: 5.7 projected points versus 4.6.
- Kyle Pitts Sr.: 3.7 FP recent scoring average.
- Mason Taylor: 7.7 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Standard




Mason Taylor
TE ยท NYJStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Kyle Pitts Sr.
- FF projection
- 5.7 FP -0.4vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 6.1 FP
- Sleeper
- 4.9 FP
- FantasyPros
- 6.1 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 6.0 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Kyle Pitts Sr. faces CAR in Week 18. Recent scoring average: 3.7 fantasy points.
Mason Taylor
- FF projection
- 4.6 FP Evenvs ESPN
- ESPN
- 4.6 FP
- Sleeper
- 4.2 FP
- FantasyPros
- 2.5 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 3.9 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Mason Taylor faces BUF in Week 18. Recent scoring average: 7.7 fantasy points.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Kyle Pitts Sr. and Mason Taylor?
Kyle Pitts Sr. holds a 1.1 FP projected edge over Mason Taylor. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.
ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros, Boosted Trees project Kyle Pitts Sr. higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.
Kyle Pitts Sr.
Kyle Pitts Sr. has a 5.7 FP forecast in Standard at CAR. His recorded recent scoring average is 3.7 FP, putting this forecast 2.0 points above that average.
Mason Taylor
Mason Taylor has a 4.6 FP forecast in Standard at BUF. His recorded recent scoring average is 7.7 FP, putting this forecast 3.2 points below that average.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Kyle Pitts Sr. | Mason Taylor | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | 6.1 FP | 4.6 FP | Kyle Pitts Sr. +1.5 |
| Sleeper | 4.9 FP | 4.2 FP | Kyle Pitts Sr. +0.7 |
| FantasyPros | 6.1 FP | 2.5 FP | Kyle Pitts Sr. +3.5 |
| Boosted Trees | 6.0 FP | 3.9 FP | Kyle Pitts Sr. +2.1 |
Before the first kickoff. Kyle Pitts Sr.: Sun 12:00 AM ET. Mason Taylor: Sun 12:00 AM ET.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs KCSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.3Sleeper 11.9FantasyPros 9.411.6Expected FP - 2
George KittleTE ยท SF vs ARISun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 11.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.1Sleeper 11.3FantasyPros 10.511.1Expected FP - 3
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs SFSun 12:00 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 9.5FantasyPros 7.89.3Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Mason Taylor