
Should I start Jordan Addison or Xavier Worthy? (Standard Week 17 2026)
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
Check availability before choosing
Jordan Addison: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play. His projections are shown below, but this comparison needs an availability check. Check back later this week for updated projections and injury news before setting your lineup.
Jordan Addison ยท Injury report dated
- Jordan Addison: 4.6 FP recent scoring average.
- Jordan Addison: 1.25% matchup reduction against NYJ.
Forecast updated ยท Standard


Xavier Worthy
WR ยท KCStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Jordan Addison
- FF projection
- 6.5 FP -1.6vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 8.1 FP
- Sleeper
- 6.8 FP
- FantasyPros
- 6.0 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 5.8 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Jordan Addison faces NYJ in Week 17. Recent scoring average: 4.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%. Jordan Addison is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff.
Xavier Worthy
- FF projection
- 5.0 FP -0.3vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 5.3 FP
- Sleeper
- 4.1 FP
- FantasyPros
- 5.3 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 5.7 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Xavier Worthy faces LAC in Week 17. Recent scoring average: 2.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 8.75%.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Jordan Addison and Xavier Worthy?
Availability takes priority over the points comparison. The headline warning above still applies; the supporting forecasts below do not clear an injured player to start.
ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros project Jordan Addison higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.
Jordan Addison
Jordan Addison has a 6.5 FP forecast in Standard at NYJ. His recorded recent scoring average is 4.6 FP, putting this forecast 1.9 points above that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 1.25%; it is already included in the projection. His availability needs checking before kickoff; a projection does not confirm that he will play.
Xavier Worthy
Xavier Worthy has a 5.0 FP forecast in Standard at LAC. His recorded recent scoring average is 2.4 FP, putting this forecast 2.6 points above that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 8.75%; it is already included in the projection.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Jordan Addison | Xavier Worthy | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | 8.1 FP | 5.3 FP | Jordan Addison +2.8 |
| Sleeper | 6.8 FP | 4.1 FP | Jordan Addison +2.7 |
| FantasyPros | 6.0 FP | 5.3 FP | Jordan Addison +0.7 |
| Boosted Trees | 5.8 FP | 5.7 FP | Effectively level |
Before the first kickoff. Jordan Addison: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Xavier Worthy: Sun 12:00 AM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Ja'Marr ChaseWR ยท CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.4Sleeper 12.7FantasyPros 13.414.6Expected FP - 2
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.7Sleeper 16.7FantasyPros 12.214.2Expected FP - 3
Tee HigginsWR ยท CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.6Sleeper 11.2FantasyPros 12.113.8Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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