
Should I start David Moore or Kendrick Bourne in Week 17 (2026, Standard)?
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
Check the bye week first
David Moore has no scheduled game in this week’s NFL slate. A projection alone is not a reason to start a player on bye.
Forecast updated · Standard


Kendrick Bourne
WR · ARIStats & schedule ›Why this pick?
David Moore
- FF projection
- 0.3 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.3 FP
Recent scoring average: -0.7 fantasy points.
Kendrick Bourne
- FF projection
- 0.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
- FantasyPros
- 0.0 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 4.8 FP
- Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Kendrick Bourne faces LV in Week 17. Recent scoring average: 1.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.4Sleeper 12.7FantasyPros 13.414.6Expected FP - 2
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.7Sleeper 16.7FantasyPros 12.214.2Expected FP - 3
Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.6Sleeper 11.2FantasyPros 12.113.8Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 17 decisions
Ja'Marr Chase14.6projected FP
Jaxon Smith-Njigba14.2projected FP
Jaxon Smith-Njigba14.2projected FP
Tee Higgins13.8projected FP
Tee Higgins13.8projected FP
CeeDee Lamb13.2projected FP
CeeDee Lamb13.2projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown12.9projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown12.9projected FP
Christian Watson12.4projected FP
Christian Watson12.4projected FP
Malik Nabers12.2projected FP