Should I start Dallas Goedert or Mason Taylor? (Standard Week 17 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Dallas Goedert

+1.6 projected edge · Standard

Start Dallas Goedert over Mason Taylor for Week 17 Standard: 5.4 projected points versus 3.8.

Dallas Goedert: 4.3 FP recent scoring average.
Mason Taylor: 7.7 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated Nov 12, 2026, 11:30 AM ET · Standard

THE WEEK 9 FILE · REST OF SEASONBraelon and the Jets.Hall’s return. Cooper’s target swing. The roles and routes behind your next Jets decision.Read the analysis ↗

FF PICK

Dallas Goedert

TE · PHIStats & schedule

5.4FF projected

↑ +1.6 vs ESPN

at SF

Sun 8:20 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Mason Taylor

TE · NYJStats & schedule

3.8FF projected

↓ -0.2 vs ESPN

vs MIN

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Why this pick?

Dallas Goedert

FF projection: 5.4 FP +1.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 3.8 FP
Sleeper: 6.4 FP
FantasyPros: 6.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.4 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Dallas Goedert faces SF in Week 17. Recent scoring average: 4.3 fantasy points.

Mason Taylor

FF projection: 3.8 FP -0.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 4.0 FP
Sleeper: 3.8 FP
FantasyPros: 2.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 3.1 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Mason Taylor faces MIN in Week 17. Recent scoring average: 7.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.

Dallas Goedert projects for 5.4 points in standard scoring, 1.6 more than Mason Taylor. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Nov 12, 2026, 11:30 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Dallas Goedert and Mason Taylor?

Dallas Goedert holds a 1.6 FP projected edge over Mason Taylor. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.

The available estimates disagree: Sleeper, FantasyPros, Boosted Trees lean toward Dallas Goedert, while ESPN leans toward Mason Taylor. That disagreement is a reason to examine the matchup and availability rather than count providers as votes.

Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert has a 5.4 FP forecast in Standard at SF. His recorded recent scoring average is 4.3 FP, putting this forecast 1.1 points above that average.

Mason Taylor

Mason Taylor has a 3.8 FP forecast in Standard against MIN. His recorded recent scoring average is 7.7 FP, putting this forecast 3.9 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 10%; it is already included in the projection.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side

Source	Dallas Goedert	Mason Taylor	Projected edge
ESPN	3.8 FP	4.0 FP	Mason Taylor +0.2
Sleeper	6.4 FP	3.8 FP	Dallas Goedert +2.6
FantasyPros	6.3 FP	2.3 FP	Dallas Goedert +4.0
Boosted Trees	5.4 FP	3.1 FP	Dallas Goedert +2.3

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Dallas Goedert: Sun 8:20 PM ET. Mason Taylor: Sun 1:00 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your league’s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan ↗.

Your next decision

Tap a player for alternatives, or search a name.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

TE. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

7.114.2

FF MEAN

1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 13.0Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 11.1Sleeper 14.2FantasyPros 9.9
13.0Expected FP
2
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 10.7Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 10.2Sleeper 11.0FantasyPros 8.0
10.7Expected FP
3
Colston LovelandTE · CHI vs DETSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 9.3Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 7.6Sleeper 7.1FantasyPros 9.4
9.3Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK

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Flex · Week 17