Should I start Devin Singletary or Dylan Sampson? (PPR Week 16 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Dylan Sampson

+1.1 projected edge · PPR

Start Dylan Sampson over Devin Singletary for Week 16 PPR: 7.7 projected points versus 6.6.

Dylan Sampson: 10.5 FP recent scoring average.
Dylan Sampson: 1.25% matchup reduction against BAL.

Forecast updated Nov 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ET · PPR

FF PICK

Dylan Sampson

RB · CLEStats & schedule

7.7FF projected

↓ -0.9 vs ESPN

at BAL

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Devin Singletary

RB · NYGStats & schedule

6.6FF projected

↓ -0.8 vs ESPN

at DET

Mon 8:15 PM ET

Why this pick?

Dylan Sampson

FF projection: 7.7 FP -0.9vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.6 FP
Sleeper: 7.6 FP
FantasyPros: 6.4 FP

Dylan Sampson faces BAL in Week 16. Recent scoring average: 10.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.

Devin Singletary

FF projection: 6.6 FP -0.8vs ESPN
ESPN: 7.4 FP
Sleeper: 7.8 FP
FantasyPros: 5.5 FP

Devin Singletary faces DET in Week 16. Recent scoring average: 10.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.

Dylan Sampson projects for 7.7 points in PPR scoring, 1.1 more than Devin Singletary. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Nov 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Devin Singletary and Dylan Sampson?

Dylan Sampson holds a 1.1 FP projected edge over Devin Singletary. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.

The available estimates disagree: Sleeper leans toward Devin Singletary, while ESPN, FantasyPros lean toward Dylan Sampson. That disagreement is a reason to examine the matchup and availability rather than count providers as votes.

Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary has a 6.6 FP forecast in PPR at DET. His recorded recent scoring average is 10.2 FP, putting this forecast 3.6 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 8.75%; it is already included in the projection.

Dylan Sampson

Dylan Sampson has a 7.7 FP forecast in PPR at BAL. His recorded recent scoring average is 10.5 FP, putting this forecast 2.8 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 1.25%; it is already included in the projection.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side

Source	Devin Singletary	Dylan Sampson	Projected edge
ESPN	7.4 FP	8.6 FP	Dylan Sampson +1.2
Sleeper	7.8 FP	7.6 FP	Devin Singletary +0.2
FantasyPros	5.5 FP	6.4 FP	Dylan Sampson +1.0

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Devin Singletary: Mon 8:15 PM ET. Dylan Sampson: Sun 1:00 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your league’s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan ↗.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

RB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

14.126.9

FF MEAN

1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs NYGMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 25.3Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 24.1Sleeper 26.9FantasyPros 23.1
25.3Expected FP
2
Tony PollardRB · TEN vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 21.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 19.4Sleeper 14.1FantasyPros 16.7
21.6Expected FP
3
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 21.4Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 21.5Sleeper 19.7FantasyPros 20.6
21.4Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK

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