
Should I start Jordan Love or Kirk Cousins? (Standard Week 15 2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Jordan Love
Week 15 ยท Standard
Jordan Love has the higher current FF forecast: 20.7 FP versus 20.5 FP. The 0.2-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
Jordan Love ยท Starter role checked
Kirk Cousins ยท Injury report dated ยท Starter role checked
- Jordan Love: 24.9 FP recent scoring average.
- Kirk Cousins: 20.4 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Standard



Kirk Cousins
QB ยท MINStats & schedule โบJordan Love
- Recent scoring average: 24.9 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 34.0 pass attempts per game.
Kirk Cousins
- Recent scoring average: 20.4 FP.
- The DET defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 10%.
- Last 3 recorded games: 40.3 pass attempts per game.
Jordan Love
- FF projection
- 20.7 FP Evenvs ESPN
- ESPN
- 20.7 FP
- Sleeper
- 21.3 FP
- FantasyPros
- 20.2 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 19.2 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Jordan Love faces MIA in Week 15. Recent scoring average: 24.9 fantasy points.
Kirk Cousins
- FF projection
- 20.5 FP +5.4vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 15.1 FP
- Sleeper
- 19.8 FP
- FantasyPros
- 19.8 FP
Kirk Cousins faces DET in Week 15. Recent scoring average: 20.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
QB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Josh AllenQB ยท BUF vs CHISat 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 25.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.1Sleeper 25.6FantasyPros 23.325.1Expected FP - 2
Joe BurrowQB ยท CIN vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 23.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.3Sleeper 20.1FantasyPros 19.323.2Expected FP - 3
Jordan LoveQB ยท GB vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.7Sleeper 21.3FantasyPros 20.220.7Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 15 decisions
Jordan Love20.7projected FP
Joe Burrow23.2projected FP
Jordan Love20.7projected FP
Jayden Daniels20.6projected FP
Jordan Love20.7projected FP
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Jordan Love20.7projected FP
Geno Smith19.8projected FP
Josh Allen25.1projected FP
Joe Burrow23.2projected FP
Jayden Daniels20.6projected FP
Kirk Cousins20.5projected FP
Kirk Cousins20.5projected FP
Matthew Stafford19.9projected FP
Matthew Stafford19.9projected FP
Geno Smith19.8projected FP
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Brock Purdy19.6projected FP
Brock Purdy19.6projected FP
Bo Nix19.4projected FP