
Should I start Tim Patrick or Tylan Wallace in Week 14 (2026, PPR)?
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Tylan Wallace
+0.8 projected edge ยท PPR
Start Tylan Wallace over Tim Patrick for Week 14 PPR: 0.8 projected points versus 0.1.
- Tylan Wallace: 1.0 FP recent scoring average.
- Tim Patrick: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Tim Patrick
WR ยท NYJStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Tylan Wallace
- FF projection
- 0.8 FP -0.1vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.9 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.8 FP
Tylan Wallace faces ATL in Week 14. Recent scoring average: 1.0 fantasy points.
Tim Patrick
- FF projection
- 0.1 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.1 FP
Tim Patrick faces DEN in Week 14. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR ยท DET vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 23.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.1Sleeper 20.7FantasyPros 21.923.9Expected FP - 2
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.2Sleeper 24.8FantasyPros 19.121.9Expected FP - 3
Ja'Marr ChaseWR ยท CIN vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.9Sleeper 17.8FantasyPros 18.718.9Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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