FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
RB · Week 14 · PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 25.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 26.8Sleeper 27.3FantasyPros 22.025.4Expected FP - 2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs CINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.3Sleeper 23.1FantasyPros 19.222.4Expected FP - 3
Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.3Sleeper 19.9FantasyPros 21.121.7Expected FP - 4
Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.8Sleeper 18.3FantasyPros 18.021.1Expected FP - 5
James Cook IIIRB · BUF vs GBSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.3Sleeper 16.4FantasyPros 19.320.0Expected FP - 6
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.3Sleeper 20.1FantasyPros 17.518.3Expected FP - 7
Bucky IrvingRB · TB vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.0Sleeper 15.7FantasyPros 14.617.8Expected FP - 8
D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.4Sleeper 17.1FantasyPros 16.717.2Expected FP - 9
Tony PollardRB · TEN vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.0Sleeper 13.6FantasyPros 13.716.6Expected FP - 10
Jonathan TaylorRB · IND vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.2Sleeper 16.0FantasyPros 16.016.3Expected FP - 11
Kyren WilliamsRB · LAR vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.3Sleeper 15.5FantasyPros 15.916.2Expected FP - 12
Jonah ColemanRB · DEN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.2Sleeper 10.9FantasyPros 16.415.0Expected FP - 13
Bhayshul TutenRB · JAC vs PITMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.2Sleeper 13.8FantasyPros 12.614.6Expected FP - 14
Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.4Sleeper 14.7FantasyPros 12.314.6Expected FP - 15
Ashton JeantyRB · LV vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.6Sleeper 15.8FantasyPros 12.614.6Expected FP - 16
Chase BrownRB · CIN vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.8Sleeper 12.8FantasyPros 14.314.0Expected FP - 17
Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT vs JACMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.4Sleeper 13.8FantasyPros 13.713.8Expected FP - 18
Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIA vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.9Sleeper 13.2FantasyPros 12.212.7Expected FP - 19
Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLE vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.4Sleeper 11.4FantasyPros 11.712.4Expected FP - 20
Rhamondre StevensonRB · NE vs MINThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 11.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.0Sleeper 11.2FantasyPros 12.111.7Expected FP - 21
Breece HallRB · NYJ vs DENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.4Sleeper 9.1FantasyPros 12.111.5Expected FP - 22
Derrick HenryRB · BAL vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.6Sleeper 13.6FantasyPros 12.311.4Expected FP - 23
Braelon AllenRB · NYJ vs DENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.0Sleeper 10.6FantasyPros 9.611.1Expected FP - 24
Omarion HamptonRB · LAC vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.3Sleeper 11.2FantasyPros 12.010.9Expected FP - 25
Blake CorumRB · LAR vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.0Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 11.810.7Expected FP - 26
Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.9Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 9.810.5Expected FP - 27
Kyle MonangaiRB · CHI vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 10.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.7Sleeper 7.3FantasyPros 11.810.1Expected FP - 28
Woody MarksRB · HOU vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.8Sleeper 8.1FantasyPros 12.19.8Expected FP - 29
Alvin KamaraRB · NO vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.7Sleeper 7.3FantasyPros 9.59.5Expected FP - 30
Jadarian PriceRB · SEA vs NYGSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.6Sleeper 8.9FantasyPros 9.39.4Expected FP - 31
David MontgomeryRB · HOU vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 9.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.8Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 8.79.4Expected FP - 32
Rachaad WhiteRB · WAS vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.3Sleeper 8.0FantasyPros 9.39.4Expected FP - 33
RJ HarveyRB · DEN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 7.2FantasyPros 7.98.9Expected FP - 34
Emmett JohnsonRB · KC vs CINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.2Sleeper 7.3FantasyPros 8.88.8Expected FP - 35
Rico DowdleRB · PIT vs JACMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.5Sleeper 7.7FantasyPros 8.88.7Expected FP - 36
Dylan SampsonRB · CLE vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.4Sleeper 8.2FantasyPros 7.38.4Expected FP - 37
Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MIN vs NEThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 10.1FantasyPros 8.07.7Expected FP - 38
Jordan MasonRB · MIN vs NEThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.9Sleeper 9.2FantasyPros 7.97.7Expected FP - 39
Kimani VidalRB · LAC vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.3Sleeper 8.8FantasyPros 6.07.6Expected FP - 40
Kenny GainwellRB · TB vs BALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.1Sleeper 5.4FantasyPros 6.67.5Expected FP - 41
Mike Washington Jr.RB · LV vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.3Sleeper 7.5FantasyPros 8.77.2Expected FP - 42
Audric EstimeRB · NO vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 0.4FantasyPros 6.67.1Expected FP - 43
Keaton MitchellRB · LAC vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.7Sleeper 5.9FantasyPros 6.26.8Expected FP - 44
Kaelon BlackRB · SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.1Sleeper 4.5FantasyPros 8.66.7Expected FP - 45
Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAC vs PITMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 5.3FantasyPros 5.36.5Expected FP - 46
Devin SingletaryRB · NYG vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.5Sleeper 6.3FantasyPros 4.96.5Expected FP - 47
Seth McGowanRB · IND vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.0Sleeper 4.6FantasyPros 7.86.2Expected FP - 48
Samaje PerineRB · CIN vs KCSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 6.3FantasyPros 6.16.1Expected FP - 49
J.K. DobbinsRB · DEN vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.9Sleeper 4.3FantasyPros 7.46.1Expected FP - 50
Justice HillRB · BAL vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 6.6FantasyPros 4.75.9Expected FP - 51
Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WAS vs HOUSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 6.8FantasyPros 5.35.8Expected FP - 52
Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · NYG vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 8.8FantasyPros 2.85.7Expected FP - 53
Tyjae SpearsRB · TEN vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.4Sleeper 7.1FantasyPros 5.45.5Expected FP - 54
Kaleb JohnsonRB · GB vs BUFSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableSleeper 0.0FantasyPros 5.15.3Expected FP - 55
TreVeyon HendersonRB · NE vs MINThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.9Sleeper 5.4FantasyPros 5.65.2Expected FP - 56
MarShawn LloydRB · GB vs BUFSun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 3.5Sleeper 4.7FantasyPros 5.85.1Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
