Should I start Jaydn Ott or John Bates? (PPR Week 14 2026)

THE FF CALL

Slight lean: John Bates

+0.7 projected edge · PPR

Start John Bates over Jaydn Ott for Week 14 PPR: 1.4 projected points versus 0.7.

Jaydn Ott: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play.

Jaydn Ott · Injury report dated Nov 13, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

John Bates: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
John Bates: 6.25% matchup reduction against HOU.

Forecast updated Nov 14, 2026, 12:16 PM ET · PPR

FF PICK

John Bates

TE · WASStats & schedule

1.4FF projected

↑ +0.3 vs ESPN

vs HOU

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Jaydn Ott

RB · KCStats & schedule

0.7FF projected

at CIN

Sun 4:25 PM ET

Why this pick?

John Bates

FF projection: 1.4 FP +0.3vs ESPN
ESPN: 1.1 FP
Sleeper: 1.9 FP
FantasyPros: 2.1 FP

John Bates faces HOU in Week 14. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.

Jaydn Ott

FF projection: 0.7 FP
Sleeper: 0.7 FP

Jaydn Ott faces CIN in Week 14. Recent scoring average: 0.6 fantasy points. Jaydn Ott is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff.

John Bates projects for 1.4 points, 0.7 more than Jaydn Ott.

Updated Nov 14, 2026, 12:16 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

Tap a player for alternatives, or search a name.

First playerSecond player

Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

FLEX. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

19.927.3

FF MEAN

1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 25.4Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 26.8Sleeper 27.3FantasyPros 22.0
25.4Expected FP
2
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
Mean 23.1Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 20.1Sleeper 20.7FantasyPros 21.4
23.1Expected FP
3
Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 21.7Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 21.3Sleeper 19.9FantasyPros 21.1
21.7Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.