
Should I start Deion Burks or James Conner? (PPR Week 14 2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Deion Burks
James Conner is on bye in Week 14 and projects for 0.0 FP. Deion Burks has a scheduled game and projects for 5.6 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.
- Deion Burks: 1.4 FP recent scoring average.
- Deion Burks: 8.75% matchup lift against PHI.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



James Conner
RB ยท ARIStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Deion Burks
- FF projection
- 5.6 FP -0.3vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 5.9 FP
- Sleeper
- 6.4 FP
Deion Burks faces PHI in Week 14. Recent scoring average: 1.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 8.75%.
James Conner
- FF projection
- 0.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
BYE
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 25.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 26.8Sleeper 27.3FantasyPros 22.025.5Expected FP - 2
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR ยท DET vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 23.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.1Sleeper 20.7FantasyPros 21.423.2Expected FP - 3
Bijan RobinsonRB ยท ATL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.3Sleeper 19.9FantasyPros 21.121.7Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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