
Should I start Brock Wright or Noah Gray in Week 14 (2026, PPR)?
THE FF CALL
Start Noah Gray
+3.4 projected edge ยท PPR
Start Noah Gray over Brock Wright for Week 14 PPR: 4.4 projected points versus 1.0.
- Noah Gray: 6.3 FP recent scoring average.
- Brock Wright: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Brock Wright
TE ยท DETStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Noah Gray
- FF projection
- 4.4 FP +1.1vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 3.3 FP
- Sleeper
- 4.7 FP
- FantasyPros
- 3.9 FP
Noah Gray faces CIN in Week 14. Recent scoring average: 6.3 fantasy points.
Brock Wright
- FF projection
- 1.0 FP +0.4vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.6 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.9 FP
Brock Wright faces TEN in Week 14. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.0Sleeper 20.1FantasyPros 13.116.2Expected FP - 2
Colston LovelandTE ยท CHI vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.8Sleeper 12.5FantasyPros 13.814.3Expected FP - 3
George KittleTE ยท SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.3Sleeper 14.3FantasyPros 12.614.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 14 decisions
Noah Gray4.4projected FP
Cade Otton5.9projected FP
Noah Gray4.4projected FP
Nate Boerkircher4.2projected FP
Noah Gray4.4projected FP
Noah Fant4.2projected FP
Noah Gray4.4projected FP
David Njoku4.8projected FP
Brock Bowers16.2projected FP
Colston Loveland14.3projected FP
Colston Loveland14.3projected FP
George Kittle14.2projected FP
George Kittle14.2projected FP
Travis Kelce13.0projected FP
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Harold Fannin Jr.12.1projected FP
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Sam LaPorta11.4projected FP
Sam LaPorta11.4projected FP
T.J. Hockenson11.2projected FP