
Should I start Brock Wright or John Bates in Week 14 (2026, PPR)?
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: John Bates
Week 14 ยท PPR
John Bates has the higher current FF forecast: 1.4 FP versus 1.0 FP. The 0.4-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
- John Bates: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
- John Bates: 6.25% matchup reduction against HOU.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



John Bates
TE ยท WASStats & schedule โบBrock Wright
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.7 targets per game.
John Bates
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The HOU defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 6.25%.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.7 targets per game.
Brock Wright
- FF projection
- 1.0 FP +0.4vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.6 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.9 FP
Brock Wright faces TEN in Week 14. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
John Bates
- FF projection
- 1.4 FP +0.3vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 1.1 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.9 FP
- FantasyPros
- 2.1 FP
John Bates faces HOU in Week 14. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.0Sleeper 20.1FantasyPros 13.116.2Expected FP - 2
Colston LovelandTE ยท CHI vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.8Sleeper 12.5FantasyPros 13.814.3Expected FP - 3
George KittleTE ยท SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.3Sleeper 14.3FantasyPros 12.614.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 14 decisions
John Bates1.4projected FP
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Tanner Koziol1.4projected FP
John Bates1.4projected FP
Charlie Woerner1.4projected FP
Brock Bowers16.2projected FP
Colston Loveland14.3projected FP
Colston Loveland14.3projected FP
George Kittle14.2projected FP
George Kittle14.2projected FP
Travis Kelce13.0projected FP
Travis Kelce13.0projected FP
Harold Fannin Jr.12.1projected FP
Harold Fannin Jr.12.1projected FP
Sam LaPorta11.4projected FP
Sam LaPorta11.4projected FP
T.J. Hockenson11.2projected FP