
Should I start Brock Purdy or Bryce Young? (PPR Week 14 2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Brock Purdy
+0.6 projected edge ยท PPR
Start Brock Purdy over Bryce Young for Week 14 PPR: 19.8 projected points versus 19.3.
Brock Purdy ยท Injury report dated ยท Starter role checked
Bryce Young ยท Injury report dated ยท Starter role checked
- Brock Purdy: 18.6 FP recent scoring average.
- Bryce Young: 12.0 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Bryce Young
QB ยท CARStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Brock Purdy
- FF projection
- 19.8 FP +2.4vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 17.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 18.9 FP
- FantasyPros
- 21.1 FP
Brock Purdy faces LAR in Week 14. Recent scoring average: 18.6 fantasy points.
Bryce Young
- FF projection
- 19.3 FP -0.3vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 19.6 FP
- Sleeper
- 20.6 FP
- FantasyPros
- 18.7 FP
Bryce Young faces NO in Week 14. Recent scoring average: 12.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
QB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Josh AllenQB ยท BUF vs GBSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.7Sleeper 25.1FantasyPros 21.822.9Expected FP - 2
C.J. StroudQB ยท HOU vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.4Sleeper 20.2FantasyPros 20.620.7Expected FP - 3
Caleb WilliamsQB ยท CHI vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.1Sleeper 20.8FantasyPros 20.820.6Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 14 decisions
Brock Purdy19.8projected FP
Josh Allen22.9projected FP
Brock Purdy19.8projected FP
Jordan Love19.5projected FP
Brock Purdy19.8projected FP
Jayden Daniels19.3projected FP
Brock Purdy19.8projected FP
Joe Burrow20.5projected FP
Josh Allen22.9projected FP
C.J. Stroud20.7projected FP
C.J. Stroud20.7projected FP
Caleb Williams20.6projected FP
Caleb Williams20.6projected FP
Joe Burrow20.5projected FP
Jordan Love19.5projected FP
Jayden Daniels19.3projected FP
Jayden Daniels19.3projected FP
Bryce Young19.3projected FP
Bryce Young19.3projected FP
Patrick Mahomes II19.1projected FP