
Should I start Bauer Sharp or David Martin-Robinson? (PPR Week 14 2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: David Martin-Robinson
The displayed FF scores are tied, and ESPN does not separate them on a comparable margin. David Martin-Robinson has the higher unrounded FF forecast (0.10 versus 0.09 FP).
- David Martin-Robinson: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
- David Martin-Robinson: 10% matchup lift against DET.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Bauer Sharp
TE ยท TBStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
David Martin-Robinson
- FF projection
- 0.1 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.1 FP
David Martin-Robinson faces DET in Week 14. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
Bauer Sharp
- FF projection
- 0.1 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.1 FP
Bauer Sharp faces BAL in Week 14. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.0Sleeper 20.1FantasyPros 13.116.2Expected FP - 2
Colston LovelandTE ยท CHI vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.8Sleeper 12.5FantasyPros 13.814.3Expected FP - 3
George KittleTE ยท SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.3Sleeper 14.3FantasyPros 12.614.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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