Should I start Bauer Sharp or Jonnu Smith in Week 14 (2026, PPR)?

THE FF CALL

Start Jonnu Smith

+2.1 projected edge · PPR

Start Jonnu Smith over Bauer Sharp for Week 14 PPR: 2.2 projected points versus 0.1.

Jonnu Smith: 0.9 FP recent scoring average.
Bauer Sharp: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated Nov 11, 2026, 9:53 AM ET · PPR

FF PICK

Jonnu Smith

TE · GBStats & schedule

2.2FF projected

vs BUF

Sun 8:20 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Bauer Sharp

TE · TBStats & schedule

0.1FF projected

at BAL

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Why this pick?

Jonnu Smith

FF projection: 2.2 FP
Sleeper: 2.1 FP
FantasyPros: 2.4 FP

Jonnu Smith faces BUF in Week 14. Recent scoring average: 0.9 fantasy points.

Bauer Sharp

FF projection: 0.1 FP
Sleeper: 0.1 FP

Bauer Sharp faces BAL in Week 14. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.

Jonnu Smith projects for 2.2 points in PPR scoring, 2.1 more than Bauer Sharp. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Nov 11, 2026, 9:53 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

TE. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

12.520.1

FF MEAN

1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 16.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 17.0Sleeper 20.1FantasyPros 13.1
16.2Expected FP
2
Colston LovelandTE · CHI vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 14.3Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 12.8Sleeper 12.5FantasyPros 13.8
14.3Expected FP
3
George KittleTE · SF vs LARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 14.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 14.3Sleeper 14.3FantasyPros 12.6
14.2Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.