Should I start Hunter Henry or Michael Wilson? (Half-PPR Week 14 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Hunter Henry

Michael Wilson is on bye in Week 14 and projects for 0.0 FP. Hunter Henry has a scheduled game and projects for 5.6 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.

Hunter Henry: 6.7 FP recent scoring average.
Hunter Henry: 10% matchup reduction against MIN.

Forecast updated Nov 14, 2026, 2:39 PM ET · Half-PPR

FF PICK

Hunter Henry

TE · NEStats & schedule

5.6FF projected

↓ -0.7 vs ESPN

vs MIN

Thu 8:15 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Michael Wilson

WR · ARIStats & schedule

0.0FF projected

BYE

Check bye / schedule

Why this pick?

Hunter Henry

FF projection: 5.6 FP -0.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 6.3 FP
Sleeper: 6.9 FP
FantasyPros: 4.8 FP
Boosted Trees: 6.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Hunter Henry faces MIN in Week 14. Recent scoring average: 6.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.

Michael Wilson

FF projection: 0.0 FP
Sleeper: 0.0 FP

Recent scoring average: 13.5 fantasy points. BYE

Michael Wilson is on bye in Week 14 and projects for 0.0 FP. Hunter Henry has a scheduled game and projects for 5.6 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff. FantasyPros live refresh is unavailable. Stored same-week projections are used (oldest provider fetch Nov 14, 2026, 12:40 PM ET).

Updated Nov 14, 2026, 2:39 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Hunter Henry and Michael Wilson?

Use the game-status and availability guidance above before changing your lineup. A saved pregame estimate cannot undo a lineup lock or establish that a player is active.

Sleeper also projects Hunter Henry higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.

Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry has a 5.6 FP forecast in Half-PPR against MIN. His recorded recent scoring average is 6.7 FP, putting this forecast 1.1 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 10%; it is already included in the projection.

Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson has a 0.0 FP forecast in Half-PPR. His recorded recent scoring average is 13.5 FP, putting this forecast 13.5 points below that average.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side

Source	Hunter Henry	Michael Wilson	Projected edge
Sleeper	6.9 FP	0.0 FP	Hunter Henry +6.9

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your league’s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan ↗.

Your next decision

Tap a player for alternatives, or search a name.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

FLEX. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

15.924.7

FF MEAN

1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 23.5Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 24.7Sleeper 24.6FantasyPros 20.1
23.5Expected FP
2
Bijan RobinsonRB · ATL vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 19.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 19.6Sleeper 18.3FantasyPros 18.9
19.6Expected FP
3
Chuba HubbardRB · CAR vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 18.7Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 19.1Sleeper 16.6FantasyPros 15.9
18.7Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK

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