Should I start Tony Pollard or Tre Tucker? (Standard Week 13 2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Tony Pollard

Tre Tucker is on bye in Week 13 and projects for 0.0 FP. Tony Pollard has a scheduled game and projects for 14.9 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.

Tony Pollard: 29.6 FP recent scoring average.
Tony Pollard: 3.75% matchup reduction against WAS.

Forecast updated Nov 15, 2026, 6:18 PM ET · Standard

FF PICK

Tony Pollard

RB · TENStats & schedule

14.9FF projected

↑ +1.2 vs ESPN

vs WAS

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Tre Tucker

WR · LVStats & schedule

0.0FF projected

BYE

Check bye / schedule

Why this pick?

Tony Pollard

FF projection: 14.9 FP +1.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 13.7 FP
Sleeper: 8.9 FP
FantasyPros: 12.6 FP
Boosted Trees: 11.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Tony Pollard faces WAS in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 29.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.

Tre Tucker

FF projection: 0.0 FP
Sleeper: 0.0 FP

Recent scoring average: 7.3 fantasy points. BYE

Tre Tucker is on bye in Week 13 and projects for 0.0 FP. Tony Pollard has a scheduled game and projects for 14.9 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff. FantasyPros live refresh is unavailable. Stored same-week projections are used (oldest provider fetch Nov 15, 2026, 5:02 PM ET).

Updated Nov 15, 2026, 6:18 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Tony Pollard and Tre Tucker?

Use the game-status and availability guidance above before changing your lineup. A saved pregame estimate cannot undo a lineup lock or establish that a player is active.

Sleeper also projects Tony Pollard higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.

Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard has a 14.9 FP forecast in Standard against WAS. His recorded recent scoring average is 29.6 FP, putting this forecast 14.7 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 3.75%; it is already included in the projection.

Tre Tucker

Tre Tucker has a 0.0 FP forecast in Standard. His recorded recent scoring average is 7.3 FP, putting this forecast 7.3 points below that average.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side

Source	Tony Pollard	Tre Tucker	Projected edge
Sleeper	8.9 FP	0.0 FP	Tony Pollard +8.9

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your league’s actual playoff weeks, build your ROS Report ↗.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

FLEX. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

14.521.3

FF MEAN

1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 21.3Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 21.0Sleeper 20.8FantasyPros 19.2
21.3Expected FP
2
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 16.9Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 15.7Sleeper 18.9FantasyPros 15.3
16.9Expected FP
3
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 16.4Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 14.5Sleeper 18.6FantasyPros 14.7
16.4Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK

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