
Should I start Tony Pollard or Tre Tucker? (Half-PPR Week 13 2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Tony Pollard
Tre Tucker is on bye in Week 13 and projects for 0.0 FP. Tony Pollard has a scheduled game and projects for 16.3 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.
- Tony Pollard: 31.1 FP recent scoring average.
- Tony Pollard: 3.75% matchup reduction against WAS.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Tre Tucker
WR ยท LVStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Tony Pollard
- FF projection
- 16.3 FP +1.7vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 14.6 FP
- Sleeper
- 9.9 FP
- FantasyPros
- 14.2 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 12.8 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Tony Pollard faces WAS in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 31.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
Tre Tucker
- FF projection
- 0.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
Recent scoring average: 8.8 fantasy points. BYE
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Tony Pollard and Tre Tucker?
Use the game-status and availability guidance above before changing your lineup. A saved pregame estimate cannot undo a lineup lock or establish that a player is active.
Sleeper also projects Tony Pollard higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.
Tony Pollard
Tony Pollard has a 16.3 FP forecast in Half-PPR against WAS. His recorded recent scoring average is 31.1 FP, putting this forecast 14.9 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 3.75%; it is already included in the projection.
Tre Tucker
Tre Tucker has a 0.0 FP forecast in Half-PPR. His recorded recent scoring average is 8.8 FP, putting this forecast 8.8 points below that average.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Tony Pollard | Tre Tucker | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sleeper | 9.9 FP | 0.0 FP | Tony Pollard +9.9 |
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 23.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.1Sleeper 23.4FantasyPros 21.123.8Expected FP - 2
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.2Sleeper 22.4FantasyPros 18.720.2Expected FP - 3
Christian McCaffreyRB ยท SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 19.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.9Sleeper 20.9FantasyPros 17.619.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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