FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
K · Week 13 · Standard
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
K. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Ka'imi FairbairnK · HOU vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.4Sleeper 8.7FantasyPros 9.611.0Expected FP - 2
Tyler BassK · BUF vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.7Sleeper 7.9FantasyPros 7.89.7Expected FP - 3
Will ReichardK · MIN vs CARSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.3Sleeper 9.1FantasyPros 9.29.3Expected FP - 4
Trey SmackK · GB vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.8Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 9.29.0Expected FP - 5
Dominic ZvadaK · NYG vs SFSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.3Sleeper 7.9FantasyPros 7.19.0Expected FP - 6
Chase McLaughlinK · TB vs LACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.4Sleeper 8.0FantasyPros 8.29.0Expected FP - 7
Cameron DickerK · LAC vs TBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.2Sleeper 7.4FantasyPros 8.18.9Expected FP - 8
Brandon AubreyK · DAL vs SEAMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.9Sleeper 8.7FantasyPros 8.78.9Expected FP - 9
Jake BatesK · DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.2Sleeper 8.2FantasyPros 8.98.8Expected FP - 10
Drew StevensK · WAS vs TENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.3Sleeper 8.0FantasyPros 8.08.8Expected FP - 11
Chris BoswellK · PIT vs HOUSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.1Sleeper 8.0FantasyPros 7.68.8Expected FP - 12
Jason MyersK · SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.9Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 9.28.2Expected FP - 13
Cam LittleK · JAC vs CHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.9Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 7.58.2Expected FP - 14
Wil LutzK · DEN vs MIASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.2Sleeper 7.4FantasyPros 6.98.2Expected FP - 15
Evan McPhersonK · CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.9Sleeper 8.4FantasyPros 8.08.1Expected FP - 16
Cairo SantosK · CHI vs JACSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.8Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 7.48.1Expected FP - 17
Andre SzmytK · CLE vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.3Sleeper 7.6FantasyPros 7.08.0Expected FP - 18
Chad RylandK · ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.7Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 6.87.9Expected FP - 19
Andy BorregalesK · NE vs BUFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.4Sleeper 7.6FantasyPros 7.47.4Expected FP - 20
Harrison ButkerK · KC vs LARThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.1Sleeper 7.5FantasyPros 7.67.3Expected FP - 21
Joey SlyeK · TEN vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.2Sleeper 7.3FantasyPros 6.97.2Expected FP - 22
Brandon McManusK · LAR vs KCThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.9Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 6.07.0Expected FP - 23
Ryan FitzgeraldK · CAR vs MINSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.7Sleeper 7.6FantasyPros 7.26.7Expected FP - 24
Eddy PineiroK · SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.8Sleeper 8.0FantasyPros 7.46.7Expected FP - 25
Nick FolkK · ATL vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.8Sleeper 7.8FantasyPros 6.96.6Expected FP - 26
Charlie SmythK · NO vs GBSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.2Sleeper 6.1FantasyPros 5.36.6Expected FP - 27
Jake ElliottK · PHI vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 7.3FantasyPros 7.76.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
