
Should I start Pharaoh Brown or Sam LaPorta in Week 13 (2026, Standard)?
THE FF CALL
Start Sam LaPorta
Pharaoh Brown is on bye in Week 13 and projects for 0.0 FP. Sam LaPorta has a scheduled game and projects for 6.6 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.
- Sam LaPorta: 2.8 FP recent scoring average.
- Pharaoh Brown: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Standard



Pharaoh Brown
TE ยท INDStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Sam LaPorta
- FF projection
- 6.6 FP -0.1vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 6.7 FP
- Sleeper
- 7.7 FP
- FantasyPros
- 7.1 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 10.8 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Sam LaPorta faces ATL in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 2.8 fantasy points.
Pharaoh Brown
- FF projection
- 0.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. BYE
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.5Sleeper 9.8FantasyPros 6.69.3Expected FP - 2
George KittleTE ยท SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.5Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 6.99.3Expected FP - 3
Harold Fannin Jr.TE ยท CLE vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 8.1FantasyPros 8.27.7Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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