
Should I start Jonathan Mingo or Kimani Vidal in Week 13 (2026, Standard)?
THE FF CALL
Start Kimani Vidal
+3.4 projected edge ยท Standard
Start Kimani Vidal over Jonathan Mingo for Week 13 Standard: 3.8 projected points versus 0.4.
Jonathan Mingo: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play.
Jonathan Mingo ยท Injury report dated
- Kimani Vidal: 3.3 FP recent scoring average.
- Kimani Vidal: 10% matchup reduction against TB.
Forecast updated ยท Standard



Jonathan Mingo
WR ยท DALStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Kimani Vidal
- FF projection
- 3.8 FP -0.5vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 4.3 FP
- Sleeper
- 5.7 FP
- FantasyPros
- 3.0 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 5.3 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Kimani Vidal faces TB in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 3.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Jonathan Mingo
- FF projection
- 0.4 FP +0.1vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.3 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.4 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 0.7 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Jonathan Mingo faces SEA in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 0.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%. Jonathan Mingo is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.0Sleeper 20.8FantasyPros 19.221.3Expected FP - 2
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.5Sleeper 18.5FantasyPros 14.716.6Expected FP - 3
Christian McCaffreyRB ยท SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.7Sleeper 18.9FantasyPros 14.116.4Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Kimani Vidal3.8projected FP
Audric Estime5.1projected FP
Kimani Vidal3.8projected FP
Tyjae Spears3.8projected FP
Kimani Vidal3.8projected FP
Corey Kiner4.0projected FP
Kimani Vidal3.8projected FP
MarShawn Lloyd3.5projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs21.3projected FP
Kenneth Walker III16.4projected FP
Kenneth Walker III16.4projected FP
Christian McCaffrey16.4projected FP
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Bucky Irving16.1projected FP
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Bijan Robinson16.0projected FP
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Tony Pollard15.5projected FP
Tony Pollard15.5projected FP
James Cook III15.0projected FP