
Should I start Jack Endries or Luke Farrell in Week 13 (2026, Standard)?
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Luke Farrell
Week 13 ยท Standard
Luke Farrell has the higher current FF forecast: 1.0 FP versus 0.8 FP. The 0.2-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
- Luke Farrell: 0.7 FP recent scoring average.
- Jack Endries: 2.2 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Standard



Luke Farrell
TE ยท SFStats & schedule โบJack Endries
- FF projection
- 0.8 FP -0.4vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 1.2 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.1 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 0.6 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Jack Endries faces CLE in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 2.2 fantasy points.
Luke Farrell
- FF projection
- 1.0 FP +0.1vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.9 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.1 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 1.3 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Luke Farrell faces NYG in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 0.7 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs PHISun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.5Sleeper 9.8FantasyPros 6.69.3Expected FP - 2
George KittleTE ยท SF vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.5Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 6.99.3Expected FP - 3
Harold Fannin Jr.TE ยท CLE vs CINSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability ยท Range unavailableMean 7.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 8.1FantasyPros 8.27.7Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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