
Should I start Deven Thompkins or Kendrick Bourne in Week 13 (2026, Standard)?
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Kendrick Bourne
Deven Thompkins is on bye in Week 13 and projects for 0.0 FP. Kendrick Bourne has a scheduled game and projects for 0.5 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.
- Kendrick Bourne: 1.9 FP recent scoring average.
- Kendrick Bourne: 7.5% matchup lift against PHI.
Forecast updated ยท Standard



Deven Thompkins
WR ยท LVStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Kendrick Bourne
- FF projection
- 0.5 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
- FantasyPros
- 0.0 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 4.4 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Kendrick Bourne faces PHI in Week 13. Recent scoring average: 1.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%.
Deven Thompkins
- FF projection
- 0.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
BYE
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs DALMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.5Sleeper 18.5FantasyPros 14.716.6Expected FP - 2
Ja'Marr ChaseWR ยท CIN vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.8Sleeper 12.1FantasyPros 11.913.8Expected FP - 3
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR ยท DET vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.8Sleeper 12.3FantasyPros 12.812.9Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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